Researchers at Karolinska Institutet in Sweden have developed an AI-based method that improves the diagnosis of breast cancer tumors and the ability to predict the risk of recurrence. The goal is to produce personalized treatment for breast cancer patients with intermediate-risk tumors. The results are published in the scientific journal Annals of Oncology.

Every year, around two million women globally develop breast cancer. In the diagnostic procedure, tissue samples of the tumor are analyzed and graded by a pathologist and categorized by risk as low (grade 1), medium (grade 2), or high (grade 3). This helps the doctor determine the most suitable treatment for the patient.

“Roughly half of breast cancer patients have a grade 2 tumor, which unfortunately gives no clear guidance on how the patient is to be treated,” says the study’s first author Yinxi Wang, a doctoral student at the Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet. “Consequently, some of the patients are over-treated with chemotherapy while others risk being under-treated. It’s this problem that we’ve tried to resolve.”

Hospitals have recently started to make limited use of molecular diagnostics to improve the precision of breast cancer risk assessment, but these methods are often costly and time-consuming. The researchers at Karolinska Institutet have now developed and evaluated an AI-based method for tissue analysis. The study shows the AI-based method can divide the patients with grade 2 tumors into two sub-groups, one high-risk and one low-risk, that are distinguishable in terms of the recurrence risk.

“One big advantage of the method is that it’s cost-effective and fast since it’s based on microscope images of dyed tissue samples, which is already part of hospital procedure,” says co-last author Johan Hartman, MD, PhD, professor of pathology at the Department of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, and pathologist at the Karolinska University Hospital. “It enables us to offer this type of diagnosis to more people and improves our ability to give the right treatment to any one patient.”

The AI-based method has been trained to recognize characteristics of high-resolution microscopic images from patients classified with grade 1 and grade 3 tumors. The study is based on an extensive microscopic image bank of 2,800 tumors.

“It’s fantastic that deep learning can help us develop models that don’t just reproduce what specialist doctors do today, but also enable us to extract information beyond the scope of the human eye,” says co-last author Mattias Rantalainen, PhD, associate professor and research group leader at the Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet.

The AI-based method is not ready for clinical application, but a regulatorily approved product is under development by a startup company, Stratipath AB, which is supported by Karolinska Institutet Innovations. The researchers will further evaluate the method and aim to have a product on the market by 2022.